Gold slips as focus on new budget talks lifts dollar
LONDON — GOLD fell from the prior session’s two-week peak on Thursday as the dollar strengthened and a stock market rally stalled, with investors focusing on coming US budget talks as euphoria over a vote to avert a fiscal crisis faded.
World shares struggled for traction on Thursday as investors grew concerned about new political battles looming in Washington over spending cuts, following Wednesday’s rally on the back of a deal to avoid the so-called 'fiscal cliff'.
Spot gold was at $1,678.46 by 2.46pm GMT, down 0.48% after having touched a two-week peak above $1,694 in the previous session. US gold futures for December delivery were down $9.80 an ounce at $1,679.
An ADP National Employment Report, which showed private sector employers added more jobs than expected in December, undermined the safe-haven appeal of US government debt on Thursday and added pressure to gold, analysts said.
Gold’s gains have been driven largely by successive rounds of US quantitative easing, which have kept pressure on long-term interest rates and fuelled fears of inflation. Any further easing measures have been explicitly tied to jobs growth.
"You could argue that the US is creating jobs — and that is another sign that the US economy is in recovery mode," said Daniel Briesemann, an analyst with Commerzbank in Germany.
Closely watched US non-farm payrolls data due on Friday is expected to show the economy added 150,000 jobs last month, after adding 146,000 in November.
Mr Briesemann said after the relief over the US deal to avoid a fiscal crisis, financial markets were waking up to the challenges that lie ahead in US budget talks.
"The euphoria is cooling down somewhat, and market participants are taking a more realistic view of what is ahead," he said.
US lawmakers left unresolved a sticky issue involving $109bn in planned spending cuts, promising more political showdowns on the budget in coming months.
"The deal to avoid a fiscal cliff has booted some problems into the long grass by a considerable distance, but there are still issues out there such as expanding the debt ceiling, which could prove to be difficult negotiations," said David Jollie, strategic analyst at Mitsui Precious Metals.
Headwinds for gold
Gold ended up around 7% in 2012, the twelfth straight year of gains, but faces headwinds this year after posting its worst quarterly performance in more than four years in the last three months of 2012.
Gold importers in India, the world’s biggest buyer of the metal last year, retreated a day after rumours of an import tax hike, as a weaker rupee helped keep prices around their highest level in two weeks.
"Physical gold demand may be negatively affected in the next few months by the fact that the Indian government is considering raising duties on gold imports even further," Commerzbank said in a note.
"The aim is to tackle the country’s record-high current account deficit, for which — according to India’s central bank — gold imports are roughly 80% to blame."
The Istanbul Gold Exchange reported on Thursday that Turkey’s gold imports rose by 57% last year to 120.78 tons from 79.7 tons in 2011.
Among other precious metals, silver was down 0.45% to $30.83 an ounce, while platinum firmed 0.69% to $1,571.25 and palladium slipped 0.91% to $695.97 an ounce.