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Rand remains vulnerable despite its recent strength, says Daniel Mminele


On interest rates, the Reserve Bank deputy governor says it remains to be seen whether favourable factors will persist — and the Bank will not hesitate if it needs to act


Strike could cause fuel shortages ahead of elections


A strike by 23,000 Ceppwawu members in the petrochemical and pharmaceutical sectors could affect crude oil refineries and fuel depots


Gordhan optimistic SA can avoid downgrade and get out of low-growth trap

Pravin Gordhan. Picture: THE TIMES

Eskom’s surprise decision on independent power producers will be examined after the elections


December ratings reprieve likely, says Asisa duo

OFFICES: Mamokete Lijane says institutions matter even more than policies in creating an enabling environment for growth. File picture: ROBERT TSHABALALA

Strong government institutions, in particular the Treasury and the Reserve Bank, are critical to preserve credit ratings, says Asisa team


Can the electricity grid cope with economic growth of 4%, Gordhan asks

Minister of Finance Pravin Gordhan. Picture: THULI DLAMINI

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan also says the government will address policy uncertainty in mining and land laws, and says a minimum wage deal is drawing near


Ratings agencies must see SA translating promises into action, Gordhan says

STANDSTILL: Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan. Picture: TREVOR SAMSON

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan says things have to be done differently in the second half of this year to retain the investment outlook of SA’s economy


Fitch cuts SA’s local currency debt rating to one level above junk

Picture: REUTERS

The move is a result of new criteria being applied and brings it in line with the foreign currency rating, while SA’s outlook was kept at stable

The Reserve Bank in Pretoria. Picture: FINANCIAL MAIL

Reserve Bank’s business cycle gauge is more gloomy news for growth

The composite leading business cycle indicator has dipped again — a small decline, but enforcing a persistent negative trend


Joburg expected to be regional home to Brics bank

Vladimir Putin (left), Narendra Modi (third left), Dilma Rousseff (centre), Xi Jinping (fourth right) and Jacob Zuma attend a Brics summit in Russia. Cementing trade relations with Brics is one thing. Shaping our foreign policy to align with them is quite another.  Picture: REUTERS

Gordhan says Brics countries are looking for other nation partners to join the organisation to further intensify development in developing economies


Reserve Bank’s business cycle gauge is more gloomy news for growth

The Reserve Bank in Pretoria. Picture: FINANCIAL MAIL

The composite leading business cycle indicator has dipped again — a small decline, but enforcing a persistent negative trend


Economy bridled by high number of excluded

Simply improving the formal economy will not solve the problem


Inclusion about opening up economy to new entrants

Inclusiveness that makes economies dynamic and creates jobs is about opening up the playing field, not just levelling


EXCLUSIVE: Quality of education must be improved, says IMF

POINT OF VIEW:  IMF senior resident representative Axel Schimmelpfennig’s four-year term in SA ends in August. Picture: FINANCIAL MAIL

Outgoing IMF executive Axel Schimmelpfennig tells Business Day SA has made progress but must address poor education and high unemployment


Minimum wage mooted as remedy for dismal growth

Rather than resulting in unemployment, some studies find that US states that raised their minimum wage had greater job growth. Picture: REUTERS

University of the Witwatersrand report suggests a minimum wage of R4,500-R5,500 a month — well above what business owners have proposed


Why Fitch’s BMI Research says Reserve Bank has no appetite for rate hikes

The South African Reserve Bank headquarters building in Pretoria. Picture: THE TIMES

The group has lowered its economic forecast for SA, and does not expect an increase in interest rates before late next year


Experts need dirt on the soles of their shoes


The economics profession should embrace ‘ground truth’ philosophy to keep spreadsheets in perspective


SA is top foreign direct investment destination in Africa

POWERLESS: Eskom has taken a decision to stop buying electricity from independent power producers. Picture: SUNDAY TIMES

SA powers past key African states to attract investment into 130 projects, mostly in renewable energy, EY report shows


Flow of liquidations slows


Stats SA data show that rate of liquidations this year is lower compared with that of last year, while the number of insolvencies has risen

Transport & Tourism

Cheap and cheerful SA’s tourism sector a bright spot in the economic slough


With visas now easier to obtain through tour operators, Chinese numbers were 50% higher in May than a year earlier while those from India rose 37%

GO SHOPPING: Higher retail sales were driven by general dealers and retailers in textiles, clothing, footwear, and leather goods. These retailers normally sell cheaper goods, which consumers can still afford. Picture: THE TIMES

Retailers defy economic gloom

The economy on track to avoid recession in the first half of 2016 by the narrowest of margins


ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: Jobs survey will be a barometer

Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan. Picture: THE TIMES

Economists strongly doubt employers have created more jobs in the second quarter as growth slows, writes Ntsakisi Maswanganyi


ON THE MONEY: Road to IMF intervention beckons

Stuart Theobald promo

The return of the IMF in Africa could well reach its southern extreme, writes Stuart Theobald


‘Twin peaks bill’ gets good response from banking interests

HUNDREDS OF COMMENTS: The informally named twin peaks bill will go back to Parliament in August. Organisations representing the banks and savers have already expressed their views on the bill. Picture: THE TIMES

Banking Association SA submits more than 100 comments on the bill and expresses concerns about the proposed legislation’s wording


Reserve Bank leaves interest rates unchanged, forecasts zero growth

Lesetja Kganyago.  Picture: PUXLEY MAKGATHO

As was widely expected, the Bank’s monetary policy committee has stayed its hand as growth sputters and inflation stabilises


STRAIGHT TALK: The dirty business of cheating

Mark Barnes argues cheating is crooked, but what about if you’re breaking the rules because you think they’re wrong?

Standard Bank

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